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Re: The AO might never really break down at all.

Message from Sam TN

That's right, I don't think the AO is going to suddenly decrease now at this time of year and it doesn't have a history of that from what I've reviewed. Usually the sudden drops have occurred by now and if not, it's usually spring. The PNA is also staying fairly 'neutralish' as well. El Nino has paved it's way and it's the 800 pound gorilla in the room this year. I even saw today where there's another down-welling Kelvin wave just after I posted last night that it's basically peaked. I don't expect to see an increase in any ENSO region next week, but it could stay where it's at for a bit longer, before finally giving in. The incredible warmth coming out of Canada just keeps reloading.


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