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Hardy Palm and Subtropical Board
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Re: Is there another big Kelvin wave coming?
Message from Sam TN
The progression of the Kelvin wave is typical. Go look at the 30 degree C temps that are expanding and shifting East. The Nino is still strengthening and Joe Bastardi is scrambling for answers. Look for 1.2 to increase a bit more. This is a basin wide Niņo without a doubt and the cold pool of water is coming, but not yet. The Niņo isn't quite done and Region 3.4 is what most meteorological services look at for rankings. But they will wait until after the trimonthlies to state it. Perhaps with the incredible 3.4 SST's it might take on a slight Modoki flavor?
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