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Re: Anything but the obvious:

Message from Sam TN

He rationalizes everything to cold. I mean EVERYTHING! His analysis is loaded with fallacy. The tiny region of 1.2 doesn't have too significant of an effect from what I see. 1982-83 is an example of this. Region 3.4 is what matters. And that region is absolutely boiling over and that heat must go somewhere. The usual southern cool anomaly is there, but it's still being overwhelmed by the sheer magnitude of this event. The more this strengthens, the more likely the South has a warm winter relative to averages. The rest of the East can bank on it. But like you said about my prediction of slightly warm might be an understatement likely becomes reality the more this thing warms. It's warned even more than what I thought it might and continues! Eventually, the SOI will increase and the beast will fall soon, but we might be well into a third of winter before it starts to show any serious signs of that and it's what's happening.


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